From "China+1" to "Philippines First": The New Direction of Japanese Industrial Capital

In June 2026, the Philippine Economic Zone Authority (PEZA) led a delegation deep into seven major industrial cities in Japan—Fukuoka, Shizuoka, Hamamatsu, Yokohama, Tokyo, Maebashi-Gunma, and Nagano—for an 11-day intensive investment matching effort. Unlike previous investment promotions by most Asian countries, PEZA returned this time not with letters of intent, but with clear expansion commitments from multiple high-end Japanese manufacturers: Tamiya, a model-making giant, reaffirmed that its only overseas factory remains in the Philippines; Ajinomoto confirmed it will build a new plant in Tarlac Province; Taiyo Yuden continues to increase its investment; and Yamaichi Electronics plans to construct new facilities in the LISP IV industrial park, with production starting in the second half of 2028.

These developments are not isolated incidents. Since Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.'s visit to Japan in 2024, total announced expansion projects by Japanese companies in the Philippines have reached nearly 60 billion pesos (approximately USD 1.1 billion), expected to create 10,300 jobs. PEZA data shows that as of 2025, 744 Japanese companies are operating in the Philippines, with cumulative investments exceeding 840 billion pesos, directly driving 300,000 local jobs. Japan has consistently ranked among the top three sources of FDI for the Philippines for many years.

The Philippine Node in Supply Chain Restructuring

The global landscape of Japanese manufacturing is undergoing fundamental adjustments. Driven by geopolitical tensions, supply chain security needs, and tariff benefits under RCEP, Japanese companies are accelerating the relocation of some production capacity from China to Southeast Asia. Compared to Vietnam and Thailand, the Philippines' advantage is shifting from pure labor costs to the full-chain services of the "PEZA Ecozone," including corporate income tax holidays (up to 10 years), exemption from import duties on equipment, streamlined customs procedures, and 100% foreign ownership preferred by Japanese companies.

During this visit, PEZA held forums in collaboration with the Japanese Chamber of Commerce, local governments, financial institutions, and academic institutions, covering key sectors such as electronics, medical equipment, logistics, auto parts, and agricultural processing. In addition to the aforementioned giants, participating companies also included small and medium-sized suppliers like Kenko Tokina, KAPCO Manufacturing, Kurosaka Infinity, and Daito Corporation. This indicates that Japanese investment in the Philippines is expanding from individual "lighthouse factories" to industrial clusters.

Twin Engines of Medical and Electronics: The Philippines' Industrial Upgrade Path

Notably, PEZA placed special emphasis on the medical technology sector during this trip. Terumo's global business operations in the Philippines demonstrate a model that combines localized manufacturing of high-end medical equipment with talent training. The Philippines is attempting to upgrade from low-end assembly to technology-intensive manufacturing: Yamaichi Electronics' new factory will introduce more advanced semiconductor testing equipment, while Taiyo Yuden's expansion targets the capacity gap for passive components.

Meanwhile, Japanese companies' demand for talent localization is also driving PEZA to cooperate with Japanese universities and vocational training institutions.Meanwhile, Japanese companies' demands for talent localization have also driven PEZA to collaborate with Japanese universities and skill training institutions. In meetings with Shizuoka Prefecture, the Nagano Chamber of Commerce and Industry, and others, both sides confirmed the strengthening of engineer dispatch and vocational training programs to alleviate the shortage of skilled workers in the Philippines.

Fierce Regional Competition: How Can the Philippines Maintain Its Edge?

Despite a strong start, the Philippines is not without rivals in the battle for FDI in Southeast Asia. Vietnam, with its political stability and more mature electronics supply chain, remains the top choice for Japanese electronics companies. Thailand, relying on its automotive industry base and the long-standing networks of Japanese trading companies, has gained a head start in the EV transition. PEZA's competitive weapon lies in its continuously optimized regulatory environment: a one-stop service window, an online approval system, and "customized eco-zones" for large-scale projects.

However, rising land costs, unstable power supply, and infrastructure bottlenecks remain concerns. PEZA Director General Panga repeatedly emphasized "investor support, business convenience, and a reliable eco-zone environment" during this visit, reflecting a response to these real challenges. Whether the Philippines can transform Japanese companies' "testing expansions" into long-term commitments will depend on the execution of infrastructure and business reforms over the next five years.

Long-Term Trends: Regionalized Production and Group Investment

From a broader perspective, Japanese companies' increased investment in the Philippines is not an isolated action but part of the "regionalization" process of the East Asian industrial chain. Under the RCEP framework, rules of origin accumulation and the ongoing catalyst of Sino-US trade friction have made multinational corporations more inclined to build complete supplier networks within a single region. Leveraging its geographical location (at the intersection of ASEAN and East Asia) and its English-speaking workforce, the Philippines is becoming a "dual platform" for Japanese companies targeting both the Asia-Pacific market and the US market.

One of the most significant outcomes of PEZA's visit was the promotion of follow-on investments by Japanese small and medium-sized suppliers—these often form a logical loop within the service radius of large companies expanding production capacity in the Philippines. Once key components, molds, secondary processing, and other supporting links are in place, the Philippines' position in Japan's global manufacturing system will be upgraded from a "standby role" to a "core node."

Conclusion

The Philippines is leveraging PEZA's institutional innovation and the Marcos administration's diplomatic dividends to seize market share during the window of Japan's manufacturing relocation. From Tamiya's exclusive overseas factory to Ajinomoto's new plant in Tarlac, and from medical technology to electronic components, Japanese investment is shifting from labor-intensive to capital- and technology-intensive fields. However, the key to this investment game lies not in the commitments already secured but in whether the Philippines can use Japanese companies' "vote of confidence" to push forward domestic infrastructure and governance upgrades. In the future competition within Southeast Asia, the winners will be those economies that can convert FDI flows into sustained competitiveness.